Fluminense 2-0 Bahia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 12 Jul 2026

📅12/07/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.68
Over 2.5
53%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.9
No
44%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-5.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
56%
-8.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
44%
+8.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.6pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fluminense EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahia EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
428 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fluminense
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Bahia
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.28 xG 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
382 Passes 344
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.02.2026 Bahia Bahia 1-1 HT 0-1 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
07.12.2025 Fluminense Fluminense 2-0 HT 0-0 Bahia Bahia BR1
11.09.2025 Fluminense Fluminense 2-0 HT 0-0 Bahia Bahia BRK
29.08.2025 Bahia Bahia 1-0 HT 0-0 Fluminense Fluminense BRK
10.08.2025 Bahia Bahia 3-3 HT 2-1 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
04.08.2024 Fluminense Fluminense 1-0 HT 1-0 Bahia Bahia BR1
POST-MATCH Fluminense vs Bahia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fluminense got the better of Bahia 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fluminense as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fluminense had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fluminense and 0.83 for Bahia.

What was the final score of Fluminense vs Bahia?

Fluminense 2-0 Bahia in the Friendlies on 12/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fluminense vs Bahia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fluminense win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Fluminense 44%, draw 25%, Bahia 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fluminense) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fluminense) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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