Caerau (Ely) 0-0 Llantwit Major — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 12 Sep 2025

📅12/09/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-6.0pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.2pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.8pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caerau (Ely) EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Llantwit Major EU Bookmakers 25%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +20%
1.71/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.73
-18% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
356 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caerau (Ely)
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Llantwit Major
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
05.04.2025 Llantwit Major 1-0 HT 1-0 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) GALFAW
07.02.2025 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) 2-4 HT 1-0 Llantwit Major GALFAW
02.02.2024 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) 3-2 Llantwit Major GALFAW
30.09.2023 Llantwit Major 1-4 HT 1-1 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) GALFAW
POST-MATCH Caerau (Ely) vs Llantwit Major
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caerau (Ely) and Llantwit Major played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Caerau (Ely) at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Caerau (Ely) and 2.00 for Llantwit Major.

What was the final score of Caerau (Ely) vs Llantwit Major?

Caerau (Ely) 0-0 Llantwit Major in the Wales - FAW Championship on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caerau (Ely) vs Llantwit Major?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caerau (Ely) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Caerau (Ely) 51%, draw 26%, Llantwit Major 23%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Caerau (Ely)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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