Montevideo Wanderers vs Nacional de Football Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Uruguay - Premier League, 12 Sep 2026

📅12/09/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.36
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
47%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Nacional de Football
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.07.2026 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 1-2 HT 0-1 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
14.03.2026 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 2-0 HT 1-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
27.10.2025 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
27.04.2025 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 3-1 HT 1-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
16.09.2024 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-2 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
03.03.2024 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 3-0 HT 1-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
PREVIEW Montevideo Wanderers vs Nacional de Football
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

There's a lean to Nacional de Football in the data, with more than enough uncertainty to keep this interesting.

Montevideo Wanderers's home league games have stayed low-scoring — only 1 of the last 5 cleared 2.5 goals, while one side has usually been blanked in Nacional de Football's away league games — both scored in only 1 of the last 5.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football lead the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Montevideo Wanderers against 1.83 for Nacional de Football.

Montevideo Wanderers vs Nacional de Football Kick-off Time

Montevideo Wanderers play Nacional de Football in the Uruguay - Premier League on 12/09/2026, kick-off 22:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Montevideo Wanderers vs Nacional de Football Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Montevideo Wanderers vs Nacional de Football is an Nacional de Football win at about 47% probability, priced 1.96 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Montevideo Wanderers 25%, draw 28%, Nacional de Football 47%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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12 Sep 2026
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