Farnborough 4-1 Enfield Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.54
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
22%
2.9
6+ Goals
9%
8.34
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.54 — our 29% vs market 17.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
66%
-8.4pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.0pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.5pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farnborough EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Enfield Town EU Bookmakers 17%
-5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.05/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/2.17
+12% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
396 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farnborough
4-1
AWAY Enfield Town
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Farnborough vs Enfield Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farnborough cruised past Enfield Town 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Farnborough as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Farnborough had 58% of the ball to Enfield Town's 42%, shots finished 20-9.

What was the final score of Farnborough vs Enfield Town?

Farnborough 4-1 Enfield Town in the England - Conference on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farnborough vs Enfield Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Farnborough win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Farnborough 58%, draw 21%, Enfield Town 21%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Farnborough), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Farnborough) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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