Algarna 0-3 Bodens BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
12.23
Draw
12%
7.78
Away Pick
75%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under
29%
Over
71%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1
16%
2-3
37%
4-5
32%
6+
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
13%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
26%
X/X
4%
2/1
3%
2/2
36%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Bodens BK win — 75%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
12%
Home Win
5%
+7.4pp
12%
Draw
9%
+2.9pp
75%
Away Win
85%
-10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Algarna EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Bodens BK EU Bookmakers 91%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.99/2.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.51/0.76
+16% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +14%
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
198 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 89%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Algarna
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Bodens BK
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
25.05.2024 Bodens BK Bodens BK 3-1 HT 0-1 Algarna Algarna İSÇ4
10.09.2022 Bodens BK Bodens BK 3-2 HT 2-1 Algarna Algarna İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Algarna vs Bodens BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bodens BK ran out comfortable winners over Algarna 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bodens BK as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (71%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bodens BK led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Algarna and 3.00 for Bodens BK.

What was the final score of Algarna vs Bodens BK?

Algarna 0-3 Bodens BK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Algarna vs Bodens BK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bodens BK win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Algarna 12%, draw 12%, Bodens BK 75%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bodens BK), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bodens BK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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