Hassleholms IF 3-1 IFK Trelleborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
60%
1.27
Draw
23%
5.71
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.98
Over
57%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
36%
4-5
27%
6+
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Hassleholms IF win — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
74%
-14.3pp
23%
Draw
15%
+7.9pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
30%
+13.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
70%
-13.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.0pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hassleholms IF EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Trelleborg EU Bookmakers 14%
+4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.41/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.87
-8% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +38%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
433 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hassleholms IF
3W-0D-0L
AWAY IFK Trelleborg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
6 Corners 3
15.06.2024 IFK Trelleborg IFK Trelleborg 1-2 HT 0-2 Hassleholms IF Hassleholms IF İSÇ4
19.08.2023 Hassleholms IF Hassleholms IF 1-0 HT 0-0 IFK Trelleborg IFK Trelleborg İSÇ4
22.04.2023 IFK Trelleborg IFK Trelleborg 0-1 HT 0-0 Hassleholms IF Hassleholms IF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Hassleholms IF vs IFK Trelleborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hassleholms IF saw off IFK Trelleborg 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hassleholms IF as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hassleholms IF had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hassleholms IF and 0.33 for IFK Trelleborg.

What was the final score of Hassleholms IF vs IFK Trelleborg?

Hassleholms IF 3-1 IFK Trelleborg in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hassleholms IF vs IFK Trelleborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hassleholms IF win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Hassleholms IF 60%, draw 23%, IFK Trelleborg 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hassleholms IF), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hassleholms IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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