GIANA Erminio vs Padova Calcio Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
GIANA Erminio v Padova Calcio — Team-Based Signals
GIANA Erminio vs Padova Calcio Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
GIANA Erminio
İTCK
3-1
HT 1-0
GIANA Erminio
İTC
1-0
HT 0-0
GIANA Erminio
İTC
1-1
HT 1-0
Padova Calcio
İTC
GIANA Erminio 0-1 Padova Calcio — Actual Match Statistics
Padova Calcio squeezed past GIANA Erminio 1-0 away from home.
As we said in the preview, our model had Padova Calcio as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, GIANA Erminio had 55% of the ball to Padova Calcio's 45%, shots finished 10-7.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Padova Calcio led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for GIANA Erminio and 1.60 for Padova Calcio.
What was the final score of GIANA Erminio vs Padova Calcio?
GIANA Erminio 0-1 Padova Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for GIANA Erminio vs Padova Calcio?
Before kick-off our model rated an Padova Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split GIANA Erminio 32%, draw 27%, Padova Calcio 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Padova Calcio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.