Perugia vs Virtus Entella Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Perugia v Virtus Entella — Team-Based Signals
Perugia vs Virtus Entella Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Virtus Entella
İTC
0-2
HT 0-2
Perugia
İTB
2-0
HT 0-0
Virtus Entella
İTB
2-0
HT 0-0
Virtus Entella
İTB
1-5
HT 1-4
Perugia
İTB
Perugia 0-1 Virtus Entella — Actual Match Statistics
Virtus Entella edged past Perugia 1-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Virtus Entella made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Perugia had 53% of the ball to Virtus Entella's 47%, shots finished 8-6.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Perugia had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Perugia and 1.17 for Virtus Entella.
What was the final score of Perugia vs Virtus Entella?
Perugia 0-1 Virtus Entella in the Italy - Serie C on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Perugia vs Virtus Entella?
Before kick-off our model rated a Perugia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Perugia 39%, draw 26%, Virtus Entella 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Perugia) went the other way.