AFC Fylde 1-4 Rochdale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
39%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
26%
+7.3pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
39%
Away Win
48%
-9.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.9pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Fylde EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Rochdale EU Bookmakers 52%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.28/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.24/0.87
-6% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -85% / +52%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
271 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 20.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Fylde
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Rochdale
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
01.01.2024 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 2-0 HT 0-0 Rochdale Rochdale İBSL
26.12.2023 Rochdale Rochdale 2-0 HT 1-0 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
POST-MATCH AFC Fylde vs Rochdale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rochdale swept aside AFC Fylde 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Rochdale made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AFC Fylde and 1.00 for Rochdale.

What was the final score of AFC Fylde vs Rochdale?

AFC Fylde 1-4 Rochdale in the England - FA Cup on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Fylde vs Rochdale?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rochdale win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split AFC Fylde 34%, draw 28%, Rochdale 39%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rochdale) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rochdale) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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