Curzon Ashton 1-0 Kings Lynn Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.8
Over
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
41%
4-5
23%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
16%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
-0.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Curzon Ashton EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Kings Lynn Town EU Bookmakers 32%
-57% / -57% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.00
-43% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +53%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
306 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Curzon Ashton
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Kings Lynn Town
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.09.2024 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
23.01.2024 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town 0-4 HT 0-3 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
15.08.2023 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 1-1 HT 1-0 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town İCON
29.04.2023 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
24.09.2022 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 1-1 HT 0-0 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Curzon Ashton
1-0
AWAY Kings Lynn Town
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Curzon Ashton vs Kings Lynn Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Curzon Ashton squeezed past Kings Lynn Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Curzon Ashton as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Curzon Ashton had 63% of the ball to Kings Lynn Town's 37%, shots finished 16-5.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Curzon Ashton had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Curzon Ashton and 0.80 for Kings Lynn Town.

What was the final score of Curzon Ashton vs Kings Lynn Town?

Curzon Ashton 1-0 Kings Lynn Town in the England - FA Cup on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Curzon Ashton vs Kings Lynn Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Curzon Ashton win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Curzon Ashton 47%, draw 27%, Kings Lynn Town 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Curzon Ashton) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Curzon Ashton) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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