Leiston 1-5 Dagenham & Redbridge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.09
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
52%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.18
Over 2.5
58%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
33%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
17%
+8.9pp
22%
Draw
22%
+1.0pp
52%
Away Win
62%
-9.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.8pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leiston EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge EU Bookmakers 66%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.00/3.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.38/0.77
-12% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / +39%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 440 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
POST-MATCH Leiston vs Dagenham & Redbridge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dagenham & Redbridge cruised past Leiston 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dagenham & Redbridge as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Leiston vs Dagenham & Redbridge?

Leiston 1-5 Dagenham & Redbridge in the England - FA Cup on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leiston vs Dagenham & Redbridge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dagenham & Redbridge win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Leiston 26%, draw 22%, Dagenham & Redbridge 52%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dagenham & Redbridge), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dagenham & Redbridge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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