Gillingham vs Swindon Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gillingham v Swindon Town — Team-Based Signals
Gillingham vs Swindon Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Gillingham
İN2
3-3
HT 1-3
Gillingham
İN2
0-0
HT 0-0
Swindon Town
İN2
1-3
HT 1-0
Gillingham
İN1
2-0
HT 1-0
Swindon Town
İN1
3-1
HT 0-1
Gillingham
İN1
Gillingham 2-2 Swindon Town — Actual Match Statistics
Gillingham and Swindon Town shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Gillingham at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Gillingham had 41% of the ball to Swindon Town's 59%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 2.55 to 0.97.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gillingham had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gillingham and 1.17 for Swindon Town.
What was the final score of Gillingham vs Swindon Town?
Gillingham 2-2 Swindon Town in the England - 2nd Division on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gillingham vs Swindon Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gillingham win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Gillingham 46%, draw 25%, Swindon Town 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.