Ujpest 2-1 Debrecen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 13 Feb 2026

📅13/02/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.63
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.11
6+ Goals
12%
10.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.1pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ujpest EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Debrecen EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.54/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.35
-5% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
17.9 Crosses 18.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ujpest
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Debrecen
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.46 xG 1.75
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
276 Passes 344
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2025 Debrecen Debrecen 5-2 HT 3-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
13.04.2025 Ujpest Ujpest 2-1 HT 0-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
08.12.2024 Debrecen Debrecen 1-2 HT 0-1 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
23.08.2024 Ujpest Ujpest 3-0 HT 2-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
27.04.2024 Debrecen Debrecen 1-0 HT 0-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
06.02.2024 Ujpest Ujpest 1-2 HT 0-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ujpest
2-1
AWAY Debrecen
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Ujpest vs Debrecen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ujpest squeezed past Debrecen 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ujpest as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ujpest had 36% of the ball to Debrecen's 64%, shots finished 11-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ujpest and 1.67 for Debrecen.

What was the final score of Ujpest vs Debrecen?

Ujpest 2-1 Debrecen in the Hungary - NB I on 13/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ujpest vs Debrecen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ujpest win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ujpest 44%, draw 25%, Debrecen 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ujpest), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ujpest) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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