AlbinoLeffe 2-0 Triestina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 13 Mar 2025

📅13/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.21
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.89
6+ Goals
8%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
33%
-1.2pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.6pp
37%
Away Win
37%
-0.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.5pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AlbinoLeffe EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Triestina EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +12%
0.76/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.96
-31% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AlbinoLeffe
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Triestina
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.10.2024 Triestina Triestina 1-1 HT 0-0 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
13.01.2024 Triestina Triestina 2-3 HT 2-1 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
10.09.2023 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 1-2 HT 0-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
11.02.2023 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 0-1 HT 0-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
16.10.2022 Triestina Triestina 0-3 HT 0-1 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
12.02.2022 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 1-1 HT 1-1 Triestina Triestina İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AlbinoLeffe
2-0
AWAY Triestina
50% Ball Possession 50%
20 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AlbinoLeffe vs Triestina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AlbinoLeffe beat Triestina 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (31% / 31% / 37%) promised a tight game; AlbinoLeffe found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, AlbinoLeffe had 50% of the ball to Triestina's 50%, shots finished 20-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for AlbinoLeffe and 1.17 for Triestina.

What was the final score of AlbinoLeffe vs Triestina?

AlbinoLeffe 2-0 Triestina in the Italy - Serie C on 13/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AlbinoLeffe vs Triestina?

Before kick-off our model rated an Triestina win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split AlbinoLeffe 31%, draw 31%, Triestina 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Triestina) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Triestina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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