Chelsea 1-0 FC Copenhagen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 13 Mar 2025

Chelsea
1-0 HT 0-0
FC Copenhagen
📅13/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
UEFA Europa Conference League – 2025/2026

Chelsea vs FC Copenhagen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.0
Over 2.5
60%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.56
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.18
6+ Goals
13%
11.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.18 — our 28% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.88
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.95
X/1
18%
3.96
X/2
10%
11.7
X/X
11%
5.78
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.1
2/2
9%
9.76
2/X
4%
18.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.1 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
61%
-6.1pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.3pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+7.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
46%
-6.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
54%
+6.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.2pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chelsea v FC Copenhagen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelsea EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Copenhagen EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +101% / -4%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
439 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
– Crosses 6.9
– Yellow Cards 2.7

Chelsea vs FC Copenhagen Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelsea
1W-0D-0L
AWAY FC Copenhagen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.41 xG 0.45
62% Ball Possession 38%
5 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 1
665 Passes 373
92% Pass Accuracy 88%
9 Box Touches 9
5 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
06.03.2025 FC Copenhagen 1-2 HT 0-0 Chelsea Chelsea AVKL

Chelsea 1-0 FC Copenhagen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelsea
1-0
AWAY FC Copenhagen
1.19 xG 0.97
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 6
498 Passes 400
89% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 20
3 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chelsea vs FC Copenhagen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea edged past FC Copenhagen 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Chelsea as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chelsea had 54% of the ball to FC Copenhagen's 46%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.19 to 0.97.

What was the final score of Chelsea vs FC Copenhagen?

Chelsea 1-0 FC Copenhagen in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 13/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelsea vs FC Copenhagen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Chelsea 55%, draw 21%, FC Copenhagen 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chelsea) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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