Olympiakos 2-1 Bodo / Glimt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 13 Mar 2025

Olympiakos
2-1 HT 0-1
Bodo / Glimt
📅13/03/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
UEFA Europa League – 2025/2026

Olympiakos vs Bodo / Glimt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.7
No
57%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.16
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
2.88
6+ Goals
9%
8.54
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.16 — our 28% vs market 18.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.97
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.9
X/1 EV+ ✗
26%
4.16
X/2
11%
10.65
X/X
13%
6.13
2/1
6%
20.45
2/2
6%
8.15
2/X
5%
16.55
Value flag · X/1 at 4.16 — our 26% vs market 19.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
59%
-4.1pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.6pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+2.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
55%
-11.6pp
57%
BTTS No
45%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Olympiakos v Bodo / Glimt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Bodo / Glimt EU Bookmakers 22%
-8% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.98/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.92
-28% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +65%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
397 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
24.6 Crosses 5.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4

Olympiakos vs Bodo / Glimt Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olympiakos
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Bodo / Glimt
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.99 xG 2.18
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 8
340 Passes 323
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
37 Box Touches 18
39 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
06.03.2025 Bodo / Glimt Bodo / Glimt 3-0 HT 2-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos AVL

Olympiakos 2-1 Bodo / Glimt — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olympiakos
2-1
AWAY Bodo / Glimt
2.98 xG 0.55
69% Ball Possession 31%
27 Total Shots 2
9 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 0
450 Passes 167
87% Pass Accuracy 66%
52 Box Touches 7
55 Crosses 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Olympiakos vs Bodo / Glimt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympiakos squeezed past Bodo / Glimt 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Olympiakos as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Olympiakos had 69% of the ball to Bodo / Glimt's 31%, shots finished 27-2, expected goals 2.98 to 0.55 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Olympiakos's control.

What was the final score of Olympiakos vs Bodo / Glimt?

Olympiakos 2-1 Bodo / Glimt in the UEFA Europa League on 13/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olympiakos vs Bodo / Glimt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olympiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Olympiakos 55%, draw 23%, Bodo / Glimt 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olympiakos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olympiakos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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