RKC Waalwijk 2-1 AZ Alkmaar II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 13 Mar 2026

RKC Waalwijk
2-1 HT 2-1
AZ Alkmaar II
📅13/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2025/2026

RKC Waalwijk vs AZ Alkmaar II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under
35%
2.59
Over Pick
65%
1.5
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.4
No
36%
2.71
Total Goals
0-1
18%
5.36
2-3
35%
1.97
4-5
31%
2.49
6+
16%
5.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.43
1/2
8%
29.5
1/X
9%
12.75
X/1
11%
4.93
X/2
9%
8.0
X/X
7%
6.31
2/1 ✗
13%
19.4
2/2
15%
5.09
2/X
8%
13.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.4 — our 13% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

RKC Waalwijk v AZ Alkmaar II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME RKC Waalwijk The Market 54%
Head to Head
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II The Market 31%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
1.93 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.23
1.81 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.50
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Average
Bad Defensevs comparable teams Average
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
25.5 Crosses 10.4
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.6

RKC Waalwijk vs AZ Alkmaar II Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RKC Waalwijk
3W-1D-1L
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.22 xG 1.30
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
283 Passes 440
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.08.2025 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 2-3 HT 2-2 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL2
12.04.2019 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 2-4 HT 0-3 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL2
21.09.2018 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 2-2 HT 1-1 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
12.01.2018 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 1-0 HT 1-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
25.08.2017 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 2-1 HT 2-1 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL2

RKC Waalwijk 2-1 AZ Alkmaar II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RKC Waalwijk
2-1
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II
1.35 xG 0.49
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
415 Passes 383
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 16
11 Crosses 11
REVIEW RKC Waalwijk vs AZ Alkmaar II
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

RKC Waalwijk came out on the right side of a one-goal game with AZ Alkmaar II 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had RKC Waalwijk as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

The match data tells the story: possession split 52% to 48% in RKC Waalwijk's favour, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.35 to 0.49.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, RKC Waalwijk had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.20 a game for RKC Waalwijk against 1.60 for AZ Alkmaar II.

RKC Waalwijk vs AZ Alkmaar II Result & Final Score

RKC Waalwijk 2-1 AZ Alkmaar II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

RKC Waalwijk vs AZ Alkmaar II Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a RKC Waalwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split RKC Waalwijk 45%, draw 23%, AZ Alkmaar II 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RKC Waalwijk), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (RKC Waalwijk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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