Emmen 0-1 ADO Den Haag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 13 Mar 2026

📅13/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.65
Draw
16%
4.19
Away
57%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under
36%
2.59
Over Pick
64%
1.5
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.53
No
38%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
20%
5.23
2-3
38%
1.95
4-5
28%
2.51
6+
14%
5.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
7.97
1/2
10%
18.7
1/X
4%
16.15
X/1
11%
11.2
X/2
22%
4.3
X/X
6%
6.92
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
25%
1.87
2/X
6%
14.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 18.7 — our 10% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Emmen The Market 22%
Head to Head
AWAY ADO Den Haag The Market 64%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Weak Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.23 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.84
1.97 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.09
Bad Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Bad Defensevs comparable teams Average
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
264 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 82%
12.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.2
15.1 Crosses 24.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emmen
1W-0D-5L
AWAY ADO Den Haag
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.08 xG 1.07
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
316 Passes 294
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.12.2025 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-1 HT 1-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
07.03.2025 Emmen Emmen 0-1 HT 0-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
29.11.2024 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-1 HT 2-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
26.01.2024 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 3-0 HT 2-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
20.10.2023 Emmen Emmen 2-3 HT 2-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
06.05.2022 Emmen Emmen 3-0 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Emmen
0-1
AWAY ADO Den Haag
0.24 xG 2.05
53% Ball Possession 47%
5 Total Shots 23
1 Shots on Target 11
6 Corners 7
261 Passes 244
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
11 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Emmen vs ADO Den Haag
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

ADO Den Haag squeezed past Emmen 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had ADO Den Haag as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (62%) never looked like landing.

On the day, Emmen had 53% of the ball to ADO Den Haag's 47%, shots finished 5-23, expected goals 0.24 to 2.05 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold ADO Den Haag's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ADO Den Haag led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Emmen and 1.83 for ADO Den Haag.

Emmen vs ADO Den Haag Result & Final Score

Emmen 0-1 ADO Den Haag in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Emmen vs ADO Den Haag Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Emmen 27%, draw 16%, ADO Den Haag 57%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADO Den Haag) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ADO Den Haag) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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