Ajax II 3-2 Den Bosch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 13 Mar 2026

📅13/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.51
Over Pick
55%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.4
No
45%
2.71
Total Goals
0-1
24%
5.12
2-3
39%
1.93
4-5
24%
2.53
6+
13%
5.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.99
1/2
7%
21.15
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
13%
6.66
X/2
13%
5.46
X/X
10%
6.04
2/1
6%
25.0
2/2
20%
2.95
2/X
8%
12.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.0 — our 6% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Ajax II The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Den Bosch The Market 48%
Strong Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
1.58 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.86
1.45 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 0.99
Great Attackvs comparable teams Bad
Average Defensevs comparable teams Strong
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 78%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
11.4 Crosses 22.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajax II
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Den Bosch
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.54 xG 1.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
430 Passes 282
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.08.2025 Den Bosch Den Bosch 2-0 HT 1-0 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
16.03.2025 Den Bosch Den Bosch 3-1 HT 1-1 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
30.08.2024 Ajax II Ajax II 1-2 HT 1-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
08.04.2024 Ajax II Ajax II 0-2 HT 0-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
01.12.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 3-3 HT 3-1 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
10.02.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 4-2 HT 1-2 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajax II
3-2
AWAY Den Bosch
1.66 xG 2.51
53% Ball Possession 47%
22 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 2
361 Passes 309
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Ajax II vs Den Bosch
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Ajax II shaded a tight game against Den Bosch 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Ajax II found the edge the numbers couldn't. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came home.

Under the surface, Ajax II had 53% of the ball to Den Bosch's 47%, shots finished 22-19, expected goals 1.66 to 2.51 — on chances, Den Bosch could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Den Bosch led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ajax II and 2.67 for Den Bosch.

Ajax II vs Den Bosch Result & Final Score

Ajax II 3-2 Den Bosch in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Ajax II vs Den Bosch Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Den Bosch win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ajax II 34%, draw 26%, Den Bosch 40%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Den Bosch) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Den Bosch) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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