MVV Maastricht vs VVV-Venlo Prediction — Model Probabilities
MVV Maastricht v VVV-Venlo — Team-Based Signals
MVV Maastricht vs VVV-Venlo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
MVV Maastricht 2-1 VVV-Venlo — Actual Match Statistics
MVV Maastricht shaded a tight game against VVV-Venlo 2-1. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was VVV-Venlo at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) came in.
The match data tells the story: possession split 51% to 49% in MVV Maastricht's favour, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.89 to 2.16.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, MVV Maastricht had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for MVV Maastricht against 0.50 for VVV-Venlo.
MVV Maastricht vs VVV-Venlo Result & Final Score
MVV Maastricht 2-1 VVV-Venlo in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
MVV Maastricht vs VVV-Venlo Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an VVV-Venlo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split MVV Maastricht 34%, draw 20%, VVV-Venlo 46%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (VVV-Venlo) went the other way.