Vitesse 1-3 Almere City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 13 Mar 2026

Vitesse
1-3 HT 1-1
Almere City
📅13/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2025/2026

Vitesse vs Almere City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.51
Over
62%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
63%
1.4
No
37%
2.71
Total Goals
0-1
21%
4.88
2-3
39%
1.91
4-5
27%
2.57
6+
13%
6.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.69
1/2
8%
22.25
1/X
8%
12.5
X/1
10%
6.28
X/2 ✓
20%
5.74
X/X
10%
5.82
2/1
6%
23.95
2/2
12%
3.22
2/X
5%
12.35
Value flag · X/2 at 5.74 — our 20% vs market 13.3%. Landed.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Vitesse v Almere City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Vitesse The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Almere City The Market 43%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
1.14 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.65
1.34 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.51
Average Attackvs comparable teams Average
Strong Defensevs comparable teams Weak
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
17.4 Crosses 18.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.4

Vitesse vs Almere City Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitesse
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Almere City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.88 xG 1.37
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
311 Passes 242
74% Pass Accuracy 65%
22 Box Touches 31
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.10.2025 Almere City Almere City 2-2 HT 0-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOL2
16.03.2024 Vitesse Vitesse 1-1 HT 0-1 Almere City Almere City HOL
17.12.2023 Almere City Almere City 5-0 HT 2-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOL

Vitesse 1-3 Almere City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitesse
1-3
AWAY Almere City
2.65 xG 1.96
58% Ball Possession 42%
22 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 2
429 Passes 305
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
37 Box Touches 12
34 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Vitesse vs Almere City
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Almere City put daylight between themselves and Vitesse 3-1 on the road. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

From a near-even 37% / 23% / 40% read, it was Almere City who turned the coin-flip their way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Vitesse had 58% of the ball to Almere City's 42%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 2.65 to 1.96 — by the quality of chances, Vitesse deserved more.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Almere City led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vitesse and 2.67 for Almere City.

Vitesse vs Almere City Result & Final Score

Vitesse 1-3 Almere City in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Vitesse vs Almere City Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Almere City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Vitesse 37%, draw 23%, Almere City 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almere City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Almere City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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