Utrecht II 1-0 Helmond Sport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 13 Mar 2026

📅13/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.86
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under
37%
2.29
Over
63%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
65%
1.51
No
35%
2.39
Total Goals
0-1
20%
4.5
2-3
38%
1.86
4-5
28%
2.67
6+
14%
7.14
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.46
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
5%
12.8
X/1
11%
4.8
X/2
10%
7.92
X/X
8%
5.79
2/1
8%
20.5
2/2
13%
5.32
2/X
8%
13.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.5 — our 8% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Utrecht II The Market 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Helmond Sport The Market 30%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
Weak Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
1.63 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.08
1.00 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.71
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Bad
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Weak
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
17.9 Crosses 18.0
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utrecht II
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Helmond Sport
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.98 xG 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
312 Passes 338
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2025 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 2-1 HT 1-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
20.12.2024 Utrecht II Utrecht II 3-1 HT 1-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
09.08.2024 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-1 HT 1-1 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
08.03.2024 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-1 HT 0-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
06.10.2023 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 4-0 HT 2-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
24.02.2023 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 2-0 HT 1-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utrecht II
1-0
AWAY Helmond Sport
1.29 xG 0.78
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
344 Passes 288
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Utrecht II vs Helmond Sport
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Utrecht II found just enough to beat Helmond Sport 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Utrecht II as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (65%) never looked like landing.

Under the surface, Utrecht II had 53% of the ball to Helmond Sport's 47%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 1.29 to 0.78.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Helmond Sport led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Utrecht II and 1.83 for Helmond Sport.

Utrecht II vs Helmond Sport Result & Final Score

Utrecht II 1-0 Helmond Sport in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Utrecht II vs Helmond Sport Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Utrecht II win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Utrecht II 50%, draw 21%, Helmond Sport 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Utrecht II) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Utrecht II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL2 More Netherlands - Eerste Divisie
13 Mar 2026
22:00 RKC Waalwijk vs AZ Alkmaar II Analysis →
22:00 Vitesse vs Almere City Analysis →
22:00 Emmen vs ADO Den Haag Analysis →
22:00 MVV Maastricht vs VVV-Venlo Analysis →
22:00 Ajax II vs Den Bosch Analysis →
22:00 Cambuur vs Roda Analysis →