Hartlepool United 1-1 Dagenham & Redbridge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
42%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.0
Over 2.5
41%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.73
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
3.26
6+ Goals
9%
11.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.73 — our 30% vs market 21.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.01
1/2
6%
23.6
1/X
11%
13.75
X/1
10%
7.09
X/2
11%
4.59
X/X
10%
5.07
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.74
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
+0.8pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.6pp
42%
Away Win
46%
-4.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
46%
+12.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
54%
-12.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.5pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartlepool United EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge EU Bookmakers 50%
+11% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -3%
1.47/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.23
+13% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartlepool United
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.09.2023 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 0-1 HT 0-1 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
02.04.2021 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-1 HT 1-1 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
23.03.2021 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 0-1 HT 0-1 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
21.12.2019 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 1-0 HT 0-0 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
14.09.2019 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 3-1 HT 1-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
01.12.2018 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 1-2 HT 1-0 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartlepool United
1-1
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hartlepool United vs Dagenham & Redbridge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartlepool United and Dagenham & Redbridge couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Dagenham & Redbridge at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Hartlepool United had 57% of the ball to Dagenham & Redbridge's 43%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hartlepool United had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hartlepool United and 1.00 for Dagenham & Redbridge.

What was the final score of Hartlepool United vs Dagenham & Redbridge?

Hartlepool United 1-1 Dagenham & Redbridge in the England - National League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartlepool United vs Dagenham & Redbridge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dagenham & Redbridge win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hartlepool United 29%, draw 29%, Dagenham & Redbridge 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dagenham & Redbridge), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dagenham & Redbridge) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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