Salford City 1-2 Bradford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.62
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.33
6+ Goals
9%
12.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.62 — our 27% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.52
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
5%
12.75
X/1
10%
5.48
X/2
8%
5.77
X/X
13%
4.77
2/1
10%
27.0
2/2
23%
3.8
2/X
8%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.1pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salford City EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Bradford City EU Bookmakers 39%
-4% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +10%
1.32/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.93
+6% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +31%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
254 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 69%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
21.2 Crosses 17.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salford City
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Bradford City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.86 xG 1.41
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
274 Passes 275
69% Pass Accuracy 68%
17 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.01.2024 Bradford City Bradford City 1-1 HT 1-1 Salford City Salford City İN2
01.01.2023 Bradford City Bradford City 3-2 HT 2-1 Salford City Salford City İN2
22.11.2022 Salford City Salford City 1-0 HT 1-0 Bradford City Bradford City İNTK
15.10.2022 Salford City Salford City 0-1 HT 0-1 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
15.01.2022 Bradford City Bradford City 2-1 HT 0-1 Salford City Salford City İN2
11.09.2021 Salford City Salford City 1-0 HT 0-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salford City
1-2
AWAY Bradford City
0.92 xG 2.32
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 6
216 Passes 211
67% Pass Accuracy 63%
15 Box Touches 27
25 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Salford City vs Bradford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bradford City squeezed past Salford City 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Bradford City made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Salford City had 49% of the ball to Bradford City's 51%, shots finished 10-22, expected goals 0.92 to 2.32 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Bradford City's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bradford City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Salford City and 1.17 for Bradford City.

What was the final score of Salford City vs Bradford City?

Salford City 1-2 Bradford City in the England - 2nd Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salford City vs Bradford City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bradford City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Salford City 36%, draw 27%, Bradford City 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bradford City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bradford City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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