Phoenix Rising vs Detroit City Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Phoenix Rising v Detroit City — Team-Based Signals
Phoenix Rising vs Detroit City Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
5-0
HT 1-0
Detroit City
USLP
Phoenix Rising 2-3 Detroit City — Actual Match Statistics
Detroit City edged past Phoenix Rising 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Detroit City found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Phoenix Rising had 52% of the ball to Detroit City's 48%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 1.51 to 1.75.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Phoenix Rising had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Phoenix Rising and 0.50 for Detroit City.
What was the final score of Phoenix Rising vs Detroit City?
Phoenix Rising 2-3 Detroit City in the USL Championship on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Phoenix Rising vs Detroit City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Phoenix Rising win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Phoenix Rising 39%, draw 25%, Detroit City 36%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.