Esperança dAndorra vs Penya Encarnada Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Esperança dAndorra v Penya Encarnada — Team-Based Signals
Esperança dAndorra vs Penya Encarnada Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Esperança dAndorra 0-1 Penya Encarnada — Actual Match Statistics
Penya Encarnada edged past Esperança dAndorra 1-0 away from home.
As we said in the preview, our model had Penya Encarnada as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Esperança dAndorra had 38% of the ball to Penya Encarnada's 62%, shots finished 13-10.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Penya Encarnada led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Esperança dAndorra and 2.50 for Penya Encarnada.
What was the final score of Esperança dAndorra vs Penya Encarnada?
Esperança dAndorra 0-1 Penya Encarnada in the Andorra - 1st Division on 13/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Esperança dAndorra vs Penya Encarnada?
Before kick-off our model rated an Penya Encarnada win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Esperança dAndorra 32%, draw 26%, Penya Encarnada 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Penya Encarnada), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.