Stjarnan 2-1 KR Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup, 13 May 2026

📅13/05/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
17%
4.34
Away
55%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
No
37%
1.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
26%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.2pp
17%
Draw
20%
-3.2pp
55%
Away Win
53%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY KR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 57%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
0.15/2.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.91/2.65
-89% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +92% / -37%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
364 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stjarnan
3W-1D-2L
AWAY KR Reykjavik
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.58 xG 2.12
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 22
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 10
195 Passes 381
68% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 42
12 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.05.2026 Stjarnan Stjarnan 2-3 HT 2-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
25.08.2025 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 1-2 HT 0-1 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
29.05.2025 Stjarnan Stjarnan 4-2 HT 3-1 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
09.03.2025 Stjarnan Stjarnan 1-3 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZLK
06.07.2024 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 1-1 HT 0-1 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
16.05.2024 Stjarnan Stjarnan 5-3 HT 1-1 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZK
POST-MATCH Stjarnan vs KR Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stjarnan nicked a narrow win over KR Reykjavik 2-1.

This one beat our numbers. KR Reykjavik carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stjarnan had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Stjarnan and 2.17 for KR Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Stjarnan vs KR Reykjavik?

Stjarnan 2-1 KR Reykjavik in the Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup on 13/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stjarnan vs KR Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated an KR Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Stjarnan 28%, draw 17%, KR Reykjavik 55%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KR Reykjavik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KR Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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