UCV 1-1 Deportivo La Guaira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 13 May 2026

📅13/05/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
41%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.6pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+3.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.6pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UCV EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +21%
1.24/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.16
+32% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +28%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
258 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
15.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
19.2 Crosses 16.6
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UCV
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.04 xG 1.34
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
195 Passes 322
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
22.03.2026 UCV UCV 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
18.09.2025 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 1-1 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VENK
11.09.2025 UCV UCV 2-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VENK
12.07.2025 UCV UCV 1-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
22.05.2025 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-1 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
17.05.2025 UCV UCV 3-2 HT 1-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UCV
1-1
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
0.77 xG 0.78
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
132 Passes 311
61% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH UCV vs Deportivo La Guaira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UCV and Deportivo La Guaira couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 28% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, UCV had 35% of the ball to Deportivo La Guaira's 65%, shots finished 6-6, expected goals 0.77 to 0.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, UCV had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for UCV and 1.00 for Deportivo La Guaira.

What was the final score of UCV vs Deportivo La Guaira?

UCV 1-1 Deportivo La Guaira in the Venezuela - Premier League on 13/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UCV vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split UCV 31%, draw 28%, Deportivo La Guaira 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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