Deportivo La Guaira 1-1 UCV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — VENK, 18 Sep 2025

📅18/09/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.99
No
47%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-2.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+4.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
46%
+7.1pp
47%
BTTS No
54%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY UCV EU Bookmakers 22%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+4% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
2W-1D-3L
AWAY UCV
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.30 xG 1.20
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
296 Passes 224
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.09.2025 UCV UCV 2-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VENK
12.07.2025 UCV UCV 1-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
22.05.2025 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-1 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
17.05.2025 UCV UCV 3-2 HT 1-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
03.02.2025 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-2 HT 2-1 UCV UCV VEN
03.09.2024 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-0 HT 1-0 UCV UCV VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
1-1
AWAY UCV
77% Ball Possession 23%
22 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Guaira vs UCV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Guaira and UCV shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo La Guaira at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Deportivo La Guaira had 77% of the ball to UCV's 23%, shots finished 22-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, UCV led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Deportivo La Guaira and 1.50 for UCV.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Guaira vs UCV?

Deportivo La Guaira 1-1 UCV in the VENK on 18/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Guaira vs UCV?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Guaira 53%, draw 24%, UCV 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) ✓ BTTS Yes
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