UCV 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+3.8pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.3pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+0.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.2pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UCV EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 45%
+10% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +9%
1.14/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.07
+27% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +18%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
263 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 77%
14.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
18.3 Crosses 18.3
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UCV
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.27 xG 1.34
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
219 Passes 320
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.09.2025 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 1-1 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VENK
11.09.2025 UCV UCV 2-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VENK
12.07.2025 UCV UCV 1-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
22.05.2025 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-1 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
17.05.2025 UCV UCV 3-2 HT 1-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
03.02.2025 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-2 HT 2-1 UCV UCV VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UCV
0-1
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
0.60 xG 0.82
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 2
191 Passes 342
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UCV vs Deportivo La Guaira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Guaira squeezed past UCV 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportivo La Guaira as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, UCV had 41% of the ball to Deportivo La Guaira's 59%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 0.60 to 0.82.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, UCV had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for UCV and 1.17 for Deportivo La Guaira.

What was the final score of UCV vs Deportivo La Guaira?

UCV 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira in the Venezuela - Premier League on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UCV vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split UCV 33%, draw 25%, Deportivo La Guaira 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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