Wigan Athletic 1-1 Barnsley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 13 Aug 2024

Wigan Athletic
1-1 HT 1-0
Barnsley
📅13/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - League Cup – 2024/2025

Wigan Athletic vs Barnsley Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.83
2-3 Goals
45%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.2
6+ Goals
9%
10.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.83 — our 25% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.27
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
6%
12.4
X/1
13%
5.33
X/2
11%
6.23
X/X
15%
4.82
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
13%
4.08
2/X
5%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+2.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-2.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.7pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wigan Athletic v Barnsley — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wigan Athletic EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Barnsley EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.95/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.61
-100% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
331 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 75%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
23.0 Crosses 13.2
5.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Wigan Athletic vs Barnsley Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wigan Athletic
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Barnsley
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.83 xG 1.56
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
300 Passes 298
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.01.2024 Barnsley Barnsley 1-1 HT 1-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
26.08.2023 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 0-2 HT 0-1 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
11.07.2020 Barnsley Barnsley 0-0 HT 0-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İNCL
31.08.2019 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Barnsley Barnsley İNCL
13.04.2017 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 3-2 HT 0-1 Barnsley Barnsley İNCL
19.11.2016 Barnsley Barnsley 0-0 HT 0-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İNCL

Wigan Athletic 1-1 Barnsley — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wigan Athletic
1-1
AWAY Barnsley
1.83 xG 1.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 10
328 Passes 331
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 31
10 Crosses 36
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wigan Athletic vs Barnsley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wigan Athletic and Barnsley shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Wigan Athletic at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Wigan Athletic had 48% of the ball to Barnsley's 52%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 1.83 to 1.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Wigan Athletic and 0.83 for Barnsley.

What was the final score of Wigan Athletic vs Barnsley?

Wigan Athletic 1-1 Barnsley in the England - League Cup on 13/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wigan Athletic vs Barnsley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wigan Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Wigan Athletic 43%, draw 26%, Barnsley 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wigan Athletic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wigan Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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