Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Louisville City Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — USLKP, 13 Aug 2026

Tampa Bay Rowdies
vs
Louisville City
📅13/08/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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USLKP – 2026

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Louisville City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
29%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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Tampa Bay Rowdies v Louisville City — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Louisville City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tampa Bay Rowdies
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Louisville City
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.57 xG 1.38
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
367 Passes 223
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.08.2026 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 5-4 HT 0-3 Louisville City Louisville City USLP
31.05.2026 Louisville City Louisville City 0-2 HT 0-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
08.06.2025 Louisville City Louisville City 2-1 HT 2-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
20.04.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-2 HT 0-0 Louisville City Louisville City USLP
13.10.2024 Louisville City Louisville City 2-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
16.06.2024 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 3-2 HT 2-1 Louisville City Louisville City USLP
COMMENT Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Louisville City
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Both teams have scored in 3 of Louisville City's last 4 away league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Tampa Bay Rowdies and 2.00 for Louisville City.

When do Tampa Bay Rowdies and Louisville City play?

Tampa Bay Rowdies play Louisville City in the USLKP on 13/08/2026, kick-off 02:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Louisville City?

Our model's prediction for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Louisville City is a Tampa Bay Rowdies win at about 43% probability, priced 2.33 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Tampa Bay Rowdies 43%, draw 28%, Louisville City 29%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
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