Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Real Sociedad v Real Madrid — Team-Based Signals
Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Real Sociedad
İS1
Real Sociedad 1-2 Real Madrid — Actual Match Statistics
Real Madrid nicked a narrow win over Real Sociedad 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Real Madrid as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Real Sociedad had 64% of the ball to Real Madrid's 36%, shots finished 23-16, expected goals 2.23 to 2.42.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Madrid led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Real Sociedad and 2.00 for Real Madrid.
What was the final score of Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid?
Real Sociedad 1-2 Real Madrid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid?
Before kick-off our model rated an Real Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad 19%, draw 21%, Real Madrid 60%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.