Faroe Adaları 1-1 Letonya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
25%
2.88
Away
38%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.48
Over
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2.15
2-3
46%
1.81
4-5
17%
5.85
6+
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.8
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
4%
14.35
X/1
17%
4.93
X/2 EV
22%
5.63
X/X
14%
3.45
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
10%
4.58
2/X
8%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.3pp
26%
Draw
32%
-6.0pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+6.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.3pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Faroe Adaları EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Letonya EU Bookmakers 34%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.27/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/0.37
+41% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 77%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
21.4 Crosses 24.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Faroe Adaları
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Letonya
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.90 xG 1.10
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
311 Passes 293
71% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.09.2024 Letonya Letonya 1-0 HT 0-0 Faroe Adaları Faroe Adaları AVUL
11.06.2024 Letonya Letonya 1-0 HT 0-0 Faroe Adaları Faroe Adaları BALTIK
14.11.2020 Letonya Letonya 1-1 HT 0-0 Faroe Adaları Faroe Adaları AVUL
10.10.2020 Faroe Adaları Faroe Adaları 1-1 HT 1-1 Letonya Letonya AVUL
22.03.2018 Faroe Adaları Faroe Adaları 1-1 HT 1-0 Letonya Letonya HAZ
07.10.2017 Faroe Adaları Faroe Adaları 0-0 HT 0-0 Letonya Letonya DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Faroe Adaları
1-1
AWAY Letonya
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
499 Passes 282
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
POST-MATCH Faroe Adaları vs Letonya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Faroe Adaları and Letonya couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Faroe Adaları had 62% of the ball to Letonya's 38%, shots finished 14-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Letonya led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Faroe Adaları and 0.83 for Letonya.

What was the final score of Faroe Adaları vs Letonya?

Faroe Adaları 1-1 Letonya in the UEFA Uluslar League on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Faroe Adaları vs Letonya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Letonya win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Faroe Adaları 37%, draw 26%, Letonya 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Letonya), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Letonya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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