Moldova 0-2 İtalya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 13 Nov 2025

Moldova
0-2 HT 0-0
İtalya
📅13/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Moldova vs İtalya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
7%
12.23
Draw
16%
7.78
Away
77%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.89
Over 2.5
58%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.33
No
57%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.35
2-3 Goals
41%
2.13
4-5 Goals
27%
2.48
6+ Goals
12%
5.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
35.0
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
4%
35.0
X/1
2%
35.0
X/2
16%
3.86
X/X
7%
12.6
2/1
3%
35.0
2/2
53%
1.2
2/X
4%
35.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
7%
Home Win
5%
+2.1pp
16%
Draw
9%
+6.5pp
77%
Away Win
85%
-8.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
31%
+10.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
69%
-10.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
39%
+4.1pp
57%
BTTS No
61%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Moldova v İtalya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moldova EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY İtalya EU Bookmakers 91%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.67/2.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.39/0.83
-72% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -37%
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
203 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 526 · 87%
9.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37.7
11.7 Crosses 19.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7

Moldova vs İtalya Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moldova
0W-0D-4L
AWAY İtalya
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
0.97 xG 3.55
32% Ball Possession 68%
12 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
245 Passes 602
78% Pass Accuracy 90%
12 Box Touches 38
10 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
09.06.2025 İtalya İtalya 2-0 HT 1-0 Moldova Moldova DKE
07.10.2020 İtalya İtalya 6-0 HT 5-0 Moldova Moldova HAZ
12.10.2005 İtalya İtalya 2-1 HT 0-0 Moldova Moldova DKE
08.09.2004 Moldova Moldova 0-1 HT 0-1 İtalya İtalya DKE

Moldova 0-2 İtalya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Moldova
0-2
AWAY İtalya
0.32 xG 2.60
23% Ball Possession 77%
3 Total Shots 28
1 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 13
147 Passes 635
66% Pass Accuracy 89%
3 Box Touches 62
5 Crosses 55
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Moldova vs İtalya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İtalya got the better of Moldova 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had İtalya as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Moldova had 23% of the ball to İtalya's 77%, shots finished 3-28, expected goals 0.32 to 2.60.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, İtalya led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Moldova and 2.75 for İtalya.

What was the final score of Moldova vs İtalya?

Moldova 0-2 İtalya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 13/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moldova vs İtalya?

Before kick-off our model rated an İtalya win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Moldova 7%, draw 16%, İtalya 77%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İtalya), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İtalya) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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