ADO Den Haag 2-0 MVV Maastricht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 13 Dec 2024

📅13/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.51
Over 2.5
51%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
5.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.93
4-5 Goals
24%
2.55
6+ Goals
12%
6.07
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.16 — our 25% vs market 13.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.87
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.95
X/1
15%
4.03
X/2
9%
12.05
X/X
12%
6.94
2/1
13%
19.9
2/2
11%
8.25
2/X
6%
16.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
62%
-11.7pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.7pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+8.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
36%
+13.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
64%
-13.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.6pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY MVV Maastricht EU Bookmakers 21%
-12% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +16%
1.62/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.70
-8% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
395 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 75%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
23.8 Crosses 14.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ADO Den Haag
3W-1D-2L
AWAY MVV Maastricht
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.09 xG 1.34
51% Ball Possession 49%
22 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
324 Passes 334
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
30 Box Touches 15
29 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2024 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-2 HT 1-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
29.09.2023 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 0-3 HT 0-3 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
13.01.2023 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-1 HT 1-1 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
19.08.2022 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 3-1 HT 2-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
11.02.2022 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-3 HT 0-2 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
01.10.2021 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 2-6 HT 0-3 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADO Den Haag
2-0
AWAY MVV Maastricht
2.56 xG 0.28
56% Ball Possession 44%
23 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
341 Passes 225
79% Pass Accuracy 67%
30 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ADO Den Haag vs MVV Maastricht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADO Den Haag beat MVV Maastricht 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had ADO Den Haag as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, ADO Den Haag had 56% of the ball to MVV Maastricht's 44%, shots finished 23-5, expected goals 2.56 to 0.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ADO Den Haag had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for ADO Den Haag and 1.83 for MVV Maastricht.

What was the final score of ADO Den Haag vs MVV Maastricht?

ADO Den Haag 2-0 MVV Maastricht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 13/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADO Den Haag vs MVV Maastricht?

Before kick-off our model rated a ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split ADO Den Haag 51%, draw 24%, MVV Maastricht 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADO Den Haag), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ADO Den Haag) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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