Osijek 1-1 HNK Gorica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
40%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.75
Over 2.5
53%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.2pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.5pp
40%
Away Win
32%
+7.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
53%
-6.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
47%
+6.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.5pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osijek EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY HNK Gorica EU Bookmakers 36%
-5% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +13%
1.07/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.13
-15% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
23.2 Crosses 16.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osijek
3W-1D-2L
AWAY HNK Gorica
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.06 xG 0.91
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
351 Passes 308
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2025 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 0-1 HT 0-1 Osijek Osijek HIR
19.04.2025 Osijek Osijek 0-1 HT 0-1 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
08.02.2025 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 1-0 HT 0-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
02.11.2024 Osijek Osijek 2-0 HT 1-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
18.08.2024 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 2-2 HT 1-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
28.04.2024 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 0-3 HT 0-1 Osijek Osijek HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osijek
1-1
AWAY HNK Gorica
0.95 xG 0.26
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
393 Passes 184
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
35 Box Touches 7
37 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Osijek vs HNK Gorica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osijek and HNK Gorica couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 24% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Osijek had 66% of the ball to HNK Gorica's 34%, shots finished 16-4, expected goals 0.95 to 0.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osijek had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Osijek and 0.67 for HNK Gorica.

What was the final score of Osijek vs HNK Gorica?

Osijek 1-1 HNK Gorica in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osijek vs HNK Gorica?

Before kick-off our model rated an HNK Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Osijek 36%, draw 24%, HNK Gorica 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (HNK Gorica), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (HNK Gorica) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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