Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-3 Hajduk Split — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.85
No
44%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.69
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.01
6+ Goals
9%
19.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+4.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.3pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
50%
+6.1pp
44%
BTTS No
50%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Hajduk Split EU Bookmakers 45%
-6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +15%
1.25/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.04
-18% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +60%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
292 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 70%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
21.5 Crosses 16.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hajduk Split
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.68 xG 1.78
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
255 Passes 321
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2025 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 2-0 HT 1-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
13.04.2025 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-1 HT 0-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
02.02.2025 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 3-2 HT 2-1 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
26.10.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 2-1 HT 1-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
11.08.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1 HT 0-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
16.03.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-2 HT 0-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
1-3
AWAY Hajduk Split
0.77 xG 3.31
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
305 Passes 341
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
11 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Hajduk Split
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hajduk Split got the better of Lokomotiva Zagreb 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Hajduk Split made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Lokomotiva Zagreb had 48% of the ball to Hajduk Split's 52%, shots finished 6-19, expected goals 0.77 to 3.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lokomotiva Zagreb and 1.50 for Hajduk Split.

What was the final score of Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Hajduk Split?

Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-3 Hajduk Split in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Hajduk Split?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hajduk Split win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiva Zagreb 35%, draw 27%, Hajduk Split 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hajduk Split), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hajduk Split) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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