Hajduk Split 2-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.43
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.5
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.11
6+ Goals
13%
10.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
15%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
65%
-6.0pp
20%
Draw
20%
-1.0pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+7.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.3pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hajduk Split EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb EU Bookmakers 17%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +9%
1.47/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.54
-6% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -27%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
400 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 72%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
20.7 Crosses 17.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hajduk Split
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.87 xG 1.59
57% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
329 Passes 220
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
28 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.04.2025 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-1 HT 0-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
02.02.2025 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 3-2 HT 2-1 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
26.10.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 2-1 HT 1-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
11.08.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1 HT 0-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
16.03.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-2 HT 0-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
08.12.2023 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1 HT 1-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hajduk Split
2-0
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb
0.94 xG 1.04
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 5
324 Passes 396
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 17
7 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hajduk Split vs Lokomotiva Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hajduk Split beat Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hajduk Split as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Hajduk Split had 45% of the ball to Lokomotiva Zagreb's 55%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.94 to 1.04.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiva Zagreb led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hajduk Split and 1.50 for Lokomotiva Zagreb.

What was the final score of Hajduk Split vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?

Hajduk Split 2-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hajduk Split vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hajduk Split win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Hajduk Split 59%, draw 20%, Lokomotiva Zagreb 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hajduk Split) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hajduk Split) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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