MTK Budapest 3-4 Ujpest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.38
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.29
Over 2.5
62%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.46
No
36%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.61
2-3 Goals
36%
1.9
4-5 Goals
32%
2.72
6+ Goals
13%
7.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
38%
+7.7pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.3pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.4pp
38%
Under 2.5
40%
-1.8pp
62%
Over 2.5
60%
+1.8pp
64%
BTTS Yes
64%
-0.6pp
36%
BTTS No
36%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MTK Budapest EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Ujpest EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +6%
1.78/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.75
+22% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
15.3 Crosses 15.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MTK Budapest
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Ujpest
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.83 xG 1.53
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
343 Passes 410
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.08.2025 Ujpest Ujpest 1-2 HT 1-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
24.05.2025 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-3 HT 1-2 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
01.03.2025 Ujpest Ujpest 1-5 HT 0-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
26.10.2024 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 4-1 HT 1-1 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
21.04.2024 Ujpest Ujpest 1-2 HT 1-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
02.02.2024 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 3-0 HT 2-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MTK Budapest
3-4
AWAY Ujpest
1.20 xG 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
412 Passes 393
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH MTK Budapest vs Ujpest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ujpest edged past MTK Budapest 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was MTK Budapest at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, MTK Budapest had 51% of the ball to Ujpest's 49%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.20 to 1.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, MTK Budapest had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for MTK Budapest and 1.17 for Ujpest.

What was the final score of MTK Budapest vs Ujpest?

MTK Budapest 3-4 Ujpest in the Hungary - NB I on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MTK Budapest vs Ujpest?

Before kick-off our model rated a MTK Budapest win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split MTK Budapest 46%, draw 21%, Ujpest 33%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (MTK Budapest) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (MTK Budapest) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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