Hearts vs St. Mirren Prediction — Model Probabilities
Hearts v St. Mirren — Team-Based Signals
Hearts vs St. Mirren Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Hearts 2-0 St. Mirren — Actual Match Statistics
Hearts saw off St. Mirren 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Hearts as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 52% and both teams to score at 47%.
The match data tells the story: St. Mirren saw more of the ball, 60% to 40%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 2.11 to 0.98.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hearts had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Hearts against 1.17 for St. Mirren.
Hearts vs St. Mirren Result & Final Score
Hearts 2 - 0 St. Mirren in the Scotland - Premiership on 14/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Hearts vs St. Mirren Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Hearts 68%, draw 19%, St. Mirren 13%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hearts), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.