Stenhousemuir 2-2 Montrose — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.71
Over 2.5
59%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.95
No
46%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2.72
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
27%
3.97
6+ Goals
9%
18.75
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.97 — our 27% vs market 19.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
52%
+0.2pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.0pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+2.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
55%
-13.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
45%
+13.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.8pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Montrose EU Bookmakers 25%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -5%
2.35/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.48
+39% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
393 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 0.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stenhousemuir
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Montrose
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
13.12.2025 Montrose Montrose 3-0 HT 2-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
04.10.2025 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 3-1 HT 2-0 Montrose Montrose İK1
29.03.2025 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 2-3 HT 0-3 Montrose Montrose İK1
01.02.2025 Montrose Montrose 0-3 HT 0-1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
16.11.2024 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-0 HT 0-0 Montrose Montrose İK1
14.09.2024 Montrose Montrose 3-0 HT 2-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
POST-MATCH Stenhousemuir vs Montrose
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stenhousemuir and Montrose couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Stenhousemuir at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Stenhousemuir and 1.67 for Montrose.

What was the final score of Stenhousemuir vs Montrose?

Stenhousemuir 2-2 Montrose in the Scotland - 1st Division on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stenhousemuir vs Montrose?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stenhousemuir win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Stenhousemuir 52%, draw 24%, Montrose 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stenhousemuir) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stenhousemuir) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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