Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Real Madrid v Real Sociedad — Team-Based Signals
Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Real Madrid 4-1 Real Sociedad — Actual Match Statistics
Real Madrid dismantled Real Sociedad 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.
As we said in the preview, our model had Real Madrid as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.
By the numbers, Real Madrid had 52% of the ball to Real Sociedad's 48%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 3.12 to 1.73.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Madrid had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Real Madrid and 0.83 for Real Sociedad.
Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Result & Final Score
Real Madrid 4 - 1 Real Sociedad in the Spain - Primera Liga on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid 72%, draw 16%, Real Sociedad 11%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.