Sevilla vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction — Model Probabilities
Sevilla v Deportivo Alaves — Team-Based Signals
Sevilla vs Deportivo Alaves Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Sevilla 1-1 Deportivo Alaves — Actual Match Statistics
Sevilla and Deportivo Alaves traded blows to a 1-1 standstill. From 1-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.
Our pre-match lean was Sevilla at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.
By the numbers, Sevilla had 25% of the ball to Deportivo Alaves's 75%, shots finished 4-12, expected goals 0.27 to 1.13.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Alaves led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sevilla and 2.00 for Deportivo Alaves.
Sevilla vs Deportivo Alaves Result & Final Score
Sevilla 1 - 1 Deportivo Alaves in the Spain - Primera Liga on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Sevilla vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Sevilla win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sevilla 46%, draw 32%, Deportivo Alaves 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sevilla), BTTS No went the other way.