Bayer Leverkusen vs St. Pauli Prediction — Model Probabilities
Bayer Leverkusen v St. Pauli — Team-Based Signals
Bayer Leverkusen vs St. Pauli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Bayer Leverkusen 4-0 St. Pauli — Actual Match Statistics
Bayer Leverkusen overpowered St. Pauli 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bayer Leverkusen as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 53% and both teams to score at 49%.
By the numbers, Bayer Leverkusen had 68% of the ball to St. Pauli's 32%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.58 to 0.52.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayer Leverkusen had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bayer Leverkusen and 1.00 for St. Pauli.
Bayer Leverkusen vs St. Pauli Result & Final Score
Bayer Leverkusen 4 - 0 St. Pauli in the Germany - Bundesliga on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Bayer Leverkusen vs St. Pauli Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Bayer Leverkusen 67%, draw 20%, St. Pauli 13%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.