Hoffenheim 3-0 Freiburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
20%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.1
Over Pick
58%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.67
No
44%
2.07
Total Goals
0-1
20%
3.92
2-3
45%
1.84
4-5
27%
3.06
6+
8%
9.82
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
2.24
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.95
X/1
18%
4.43
X/2
7%
9.34
X/X
14%
5.61
2/1
3%
21.8
2/2
11%
7.01
2/X
5%
15.3
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Hoffenheim The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Freiburg The Market 25%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.06 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.22
1.28 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.74
Strong Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Average
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
434 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
29 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hoffenheim
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Freiburg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.59 xG 1.60
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
352 Passes 314
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2025 Freiburg Freiburg 1-1 HT 1-1 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
19.04.2025 Freiburg Freiburg 3-2 HT 2-2 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
08.12.2024 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 1-1 HT 0-0 Freiburg Freiburg AL1
20.01.2024 Freiburg Freiburg 3-2 HT 1-0 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
19.08.2023 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 1-2 HT 0-2 Freiburg Freiburg AL1
12.03.2023 Freiburg Freiburg 2-1 HT 1-0 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoffenheim
3 - 0
AWAY Freiburg
1.71 xG 0.83
61% Ball Possession 39%
25 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
440 Passes 235
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
44 Box Touches 25
28 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Hoffenheim vs Freiburg
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Hoffenheim overpowered Freiburg 3-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hoffenheim as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, possession split 61% to 39% in Hoffenheim's favour, shots finished 25-13, expected goals 1.71 to 0.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Freiburg led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Hoffenheim against 2.00 for Freiburg.

Hoffenheim vs Freiburg Result & Final Score

Hoffenheim 3 - 0 Freiburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Hoffenheim vs Freiburg Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Hoffenheim win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Hoffenheim 56%, draw 23%, Freiburg 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hoffenheim), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hoffenheim) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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