Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Liverpool v Brighton & Hove Albion — Team-Based Signals
Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-2
Liverpool
İNP
Liverpool 3-0 Brighton & Hove Albion — Actual Match Statistics
Liverpool swept aside Brighton & Hove Albion 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Liverpool as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Liverpool had 47% of the ball to Brighton & Hove Albion's 53%, shots finished 13-18, expected goals 1.98 to 1.29.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Liverpool and 1.50 for Brighton & Hove Albion.
What was the final score of Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Liverpool 3-0 Brighton & Hove Albion in the England - FA Cup on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Liverpool 60%, draw 20%, Brighton & Hove Albion 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.