Groningen 1-2 Utrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 14 Feb 2026

Groningen
1-2 HT 0-0
Utrecht
📅14/02/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2025/2026

Groningen vs Utrecht Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.82
No
43%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2.98
2-3 Goals
46%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.79
6+ Goals
10%
16.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.64
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.55
X/1
15%
4.55
X/2
10%
7.97
X/X
9%
4.55
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
25.5
2/2
11%
6.28
2/X
9%
14.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 10% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
+0.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+6.6pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Groningen v Utrecht — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Groningen EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Utrecht EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.28/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.51
-15% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
21.8 Crosses 20.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

Groningen vs Utrecht Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Groningen
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Utrecht
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.05 xG 1.53
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
364 Passes 302
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.09.2025 Utrecht Utrecht 0-1 HT 0-0 Groningen Groningen HOL
13.04.2025 Utrecht Utrecht 3-1 HT 3-1 Groningen Groningen HOL
20.10.2024 Groningen Groningen 0-1 HT 0-1 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
07.04.2023 Groningen Groningen 1-2 HT 1-1 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
06.11.2022 Utrecht Utrecht 2-1 HT 0-1 Groningen Groningen HOL
20.03.2022 Utrecht Utrecht 1-3 HT 0-2 Groningen Groningen HOL

Groningen 1-2 Utrecht — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Groningen
1-2
AWAY Utrecht
0.86 xG 2.29
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
340 Passes 370
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 34
13 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Groningen vs Utrecht
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Utrecht edged past Groningen 2-1 away from home in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 14 Feb 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 57%.

On the day, Groningen had 48% of the ball to Utrecht's 52%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 0.86 to 2.29.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Utrecht lead the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Groningen and 1.50 for Utrecht.

What was the final score of Groningen vs Utrecht?

Groningen 1-2 Utrecht in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Groningen vs Utrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Groningen win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Groningen 49%, draw 25%, Utrecht 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Groningen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Groningen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL More Netherlands - Eredivisie
14 Feb 2026
18:30 Heracles vs NAC Breda Analysis →
20:45 Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar Analysis →
22:00 Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard Analysis →