Heracles vs NAC Breda Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Heracles v NAC Breda — Team-Based Signals
Heracles vs NAC Breda Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-0
Heracles
HOL2
5-1
HT 3-1
NAC Breda
HOL2
Heracles 0-1 NAC Breda — Actual Match Statistics
NAC Breda edged past Heracles 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (41% / 22% / 37%) promised a tight game; NAC Breda found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Heracles had 53% of the ball to NAC Breda's 47%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.32 to 1.44.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Heracles had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Heracles and 0.83 for NAC Breda.
What was the final score of Heracles vs NAC Breda?
Heracles 0-1 NAC Breda in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Heracles vs NAC Breda?
Before kick-off our model rated a Heracles win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Heracles 41%, draw 22%, NAC Breda 37%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.