Celje 5-1 Mura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 14 Feb 2026

Celje
5-1 HT 2-1
Mura
📅14/02/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.33
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
17%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.95
No
45%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.26
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
22%
2.83
6+ Goals
13%
8.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
14%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
71%
-7.8pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.6pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+5.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.0pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celje EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Mura EU Bookmakers 15%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -20%
2.30/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/2.18
+5% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / -3%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celje
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Mura
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
66% Ball Possession 34%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2025 Mura Mura 2-1 HT 1-1 Celje Celje SLVN
10.08.2025 Celje Celje 3-0 HT 1-0 Mura Mura SLVN
13.04.2025 Celje Celje 2-1 HT 0-1 Mura Mura SLVN
16.02.2025 Mura Mura 0-0 HT 0-0 Celje Celje SLVN
19.10.2024 Celje Celje 4-3 HT 0-1 Mura Mura SLVN
03.08.2024 Mura Mura 1-0 HT 1-0 Celje Celje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celje
5-1
AWAY Mura
81% Ball Possession 19%
17 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Celje vs Mura
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celje swept aside Mura 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Celje as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Celje had 81% of the ball to Mura's 19%, shots finished 17-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celje had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Celje and 1.17 for Mura.

What was the final score of Celje vs Mura?

Celje 5-1 Mura in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celje vs Mura?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Celje 63%, draw 20%, Mura 17%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celje), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Celje) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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